Disclaimer: This is my personal logic trading analysis blog that show my own personal analysis. All information provided here are for sharing purposes only. The author should not be held liable for any informational errors, incompleteness or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. Buy at your own risk.

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Showing posts with label Bursa Malaysia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bursa Malaysia. Show all posts

Monday, April 10, 2017

REXIT - Another Big Opportunity For Growth

Today I would like to share my study about this company. Which is totally for own study, not recommend reader to make buy/sell or any intention to promote it. 
Just blogging about what I study lah !

Please invest at your own risk and do not try to PUMP and DUMP which is not good for market !

REXIT (0106) , this company is interesting, because it look like macam got inherit MYEG, GHLSYS 's DNA.

What's the Formula of these company DNA ?

Let me share about MYEG first:


In year 2013, that's the starting point where MYEG start to rise and forever and ever until last week still break new high. Do you ever ask why MYEG price can keep going up?

Look at the Bonus History of MYEG:


Don't look at the share price which only RM 2.0, but it's actually worth RM 52.80 if without any Bonus split from 2007 until now. It's about 10 year, from RM 0.10+ become today RM 50+. Of course the able to give bonus are mainly due to profit strong growth over the years.

How about GHLSYS ?

GHLSYS
has even longer history in Bursa compare to MYEG.

MYEG IPO on  November 2006 at RM 0.55 PER SHARE, while
GHLSYS IPO on March 2003 at RM 0.20 PER SHARE.



If we look at GHLSYS stock price, it's also break new high, and once again don't look at current price only RM 1.55, it's once again because of many time of BONUS issue.


From IPO RM 0.20, until today without Bonus split, it's actually about RM 2.38 (if not count mistakenly.)

From what we learn here is that MYEG and GHLSYS doing pretty well in the past 10 years.

Why is this so?

What is the DNA of MYEG and GHLSYS that make them so successful? The genetic instructions in the growth, development, functioning and reproduction (bonus) in MYEG and GHLSYS are mostly based on few thing below:

1. Payment system though internet
2. Government related services
3. Almost Monopoly Business
4. Very high recurring income which mean sales repeated
5. Both are started from Ace Market before
6. Using Technology to grow business
7. Once got profit growth then Meletup
8. Able to keep on growing in market/product/service
9. Fit to latest FINTECH trend

And so what is so Exciting about this REXIT after looking at MYEG and GHLSYS? 

First we compare the stock chart:


Technically REXIT stock price has just breaking nearly 8 year high, A sign of bullishness in the making and I believe it's a preparation for all the reason below:

REXIT IPO during October 2005 at RM 0.32. We can see after IPO the company enjoy strong growth in profit and its stock price Meletup so big to as far as RM 3.10. And there after the financial crisis of 2008, caused it crash and have been big sideways until now almost 8 years, lowest we see about RM 0.30. And the price now are just only times 2 of IPO price, but MYEG and GHLSYS already far more beyond. Why? We will tell you later.

Although market crash, we still see the company able to retain its earning, and gives dividend every year without a missed !!??


From year 2006, start giving dividend until now, total dividend paid RM 0.305 almost 100% return from IPO price of RM 0.32.

The company are actually very generous in giving out dividend which become one of the reason share price din't really move up a lot because cash reserve always paid as dividend. Then why are we finding REXIT remain interesting?


Even the Bonus History only one after year 2006. Compare to MYEG, GHLSYS seem to be unmatched. If you think like that, then you will missed the future things that you might not foresee !!

We got to tell you REXIT are ready to give BONUS again like MYEG or GHLSYS ! 


Look at REXIT latest quarter result, Retained profit already more than Share capital, which enough to give at 1 for 1 Bonus. Just it's matter of time and whether the company wanna give. And look at they have so much cash of RM 28 Millions (ready to acquire new business or other company), and debt are just so little, just based on this already know this company are very safe in investing point of view !

How about do REXIT have DNA of MYEG and GHLSYS ? 

We can see MYEG big spike up after get the foreign renew permit and possible of GST monitoring system, steady profit grow, while GHLSYS although profit grow slowly (look similar like REXIT) but once they got news with ALIPAY, limit up !

What REXIT have in order to Fly like MYEG / GHLSYS? 

Actually over so many years, REXIT business has been very stable which main income from E-Cover, which is the general insurance system.


We can actually notice quite many famous Insurance company using this E-Cover platform. I myself also ask my car service centre to handle the renewal of car Insurance, and they will send to one of the insurance company listed above. This tell me that, the business are repeated every year, and we can see so many new car and motors everyday, so the business unlikely die or slow down much.

This year, finally will be game changer for REXIT to stage another stage of growth after so many years due to latest De-tariffication of General Insurance in Malaysia.

Please refer to this link to understand more:
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/en/node/314023


This De-taffication will start on 1, JULY 2017, so time will tell whether market will go shout this stock or not that time. Just like how MYEG price rocket when take foreign permit and others, GHLSYS got deal with ALIBABA.

Not only that, again, we notice REXIT are doing international business !! This show that REXIT business is not limited in Malaysia only, the growth opportunity remain high !!


We notice REXIT already cover to few country now, what if they expand to INDONESIA? Or other Asian country? That will immediately see super growth rate and especially if they come out with more product and services, then can immediately sell to all these country.

New product such as LIFE INSURANCE sell online? That's something going to happen in Malaysia too !


Lets look at how 2016 annual report say on year 2017 outlook :


Company are expecting positive contribution from De-Tarffied Module in 2017 this year !!!


Seems like 2016 Annual report has already tell everyone that they have successful e-Cover system in Hong Kong, Singapore and Thailand. Interestingly Malaysia are just started this de-tariff module which is exactly right timing for growth business !

The e-Cover portal also seems to be upgraded to able to support all type of device and system, which show a very good improvement as well. (The company ins't sleep for past 10 years, they actually did something, just not yet show on balance sheet)

Another reason that MYEG and GHLSYS able to rocket up but REXIT still not ! 

It's simply due to MYEG and GHLSYS already move to Mainboard, only if move to Mainboard then big local fund can start buying (I guess), that's the reason REXIT still lag behind. But WAIT !!

From year 2013 to 2016, net profit RM 4.7+3.4+5.3+6.8 = RM 20.2 Million

REXIT already eligible to apply transfer to Mainboard ! 

For the past 4 year, REXIT has made more than RM 20 millions profit, which already enough to transfer to Mainboard. It's matter of time the company proposed to transfer, if they want to get more investor attention, they will sooner apply, maybe they are now busy with Malaysia De-tariff projects, who know after complete, by year end or next year they apply?

Once success go Mainboard, I don't think it still can stay below RM 1.0. Remember my words !

You should know that, in ACE market, there are total 113 company, not much can continue profit for the past 10 years. We can see stock like JHM, OCNCASH that listed in ACE stock has finally show successful story after bank cover on it, after strong result, and price Meletup big. 

This is something we should take note as it show the company future prospect !


As a conclusion:

1. REXIT potential to be next MYEG or GHLSYS.
2. REXIT give a lot dividend, good yield !
3. REXIT is a nett cash company.
4. REXIT balance sheet ready for BONUS ISSUE.
5. REXIT going to benefit from Malaysia De-tariff plan.
6. REXIT doing international business.
7. REXIT is ready to go Mainboard.
8. REXIT are the very few remaining good FA stock in Ace market.
9. REXIT technically just break 8 year high, look bullish

My own personal "hope" for short term price to reach RM 0.90, mid term hope RM 1.50, long term hope RM 2.80. 

By the time I write this post, I already own a little REXIT shares, and please don't try to PUMP and DUMP this stock as I want to invest peacefully.

Above are purely sharing information that might have errors cause by human mistake, miscalculation, and for education and personal reference only.

Sunday, April 5, 2015

A Quick Reviews on Recent Bursa Malaysia Stock Market

April Fools just past, have you been fooled by Bursa Stock Market ? I guess most of you are not and feeling happy because goreng goreng month in March is really exciting, if you cannot make money at March, you need to seriously think about your trading plan and stock picks. And not to waste this APRIL !

I just want to do a quick reviews on recent Bursa Malaysia Stock Market. Look at FBMKLCI 2014 till now.


FBM Index as 3 April is at 1834.52, showing that its do not have much increase or drop comparing to First trading day of 2014. What it mean? Its simply mean index actually not yet perform. So we need to take all 30 company result to check whether index will worth higher?

Ambank POSITIVE Financial year 2015 3 quarter better than 2014
ASTRO POSITIVE Financial year 2015 4 quarter better than 2014 but price dint go new high
AXIATA NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter better than 2013
BAT POSITIVE Financial year 2015 4 quarter better than 2014 but price dint go new high
CIMB NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter poor than 2013, price also follow fall a lot
DIGI POSITIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter better than 2013
FGV NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter poor than 2013
GENM NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter poor than 2013
GENTING NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter poor than 2013
HLBANK POSITIVE Financial year 2015 2 quarter better than 2014
HLFG AVERAGE Financial year 2014-2015 result average
IHH POSITIVE Financial year 2014 4 quarter better than 2013
IOICORP NEGATIVE Financial year 2015 2 quarter poor than 2014
KLCC POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
KLK AVERAGE Financial year 2014-2015 result average
MAXIS AVERAGE Financial year 2013-2014 average
MAYBANK POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
MISC POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
PBBANK POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
PCHEM NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 poor than 2013
PETDAG NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 poor than 2013
PETGAS NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 poor than 2013
PPB AVERAGE Financial year 2013-2014 average
RHBCAP POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
SIME NEGATIVE Financial year 2015 2 quarter is poor than 2014
SKPETRO NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 poor than 2013
TENAGA POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
TM NEGATIVE Financial year 2014 poor than 2013 but outlook always positive
UMW POSITIVE Financial year 2014 better than 2013
YTL NEGATIVE Financial year 2015 2 quarter poor than 2014


As a conclusion, WOW ! 13 POSITIVE, 13 NEGATIVE, 4 AVERAGE ! Its a tie result ! That's why our index are moving a no up down comparing to 2014. 

Now looking at our currency which is many Malaysian worries as well. For me, I not worry at all ! If you know how to choose stock. Latest show RM slightly increase back value recently, Its a good sign to stock market right?  Although might continue go higher, buy lah export sector counter ! Dont scare !


Ok next oil price, also very much care by Malaysian because we got many oil related stock to goreng in Bursa Malaysia.


Wahh drop a lot already right? Volume also so many right? People say it will drop until break 40, you believe? Oil producer got so stupid or not to sell everybody cheap cheap ? You have logic analysis skill or not? You self better think think oh.. My believe is that oil will definitely one day climbing up rather than continue go low. That mean it's another boost to our stock market.

By looking at ASIAN countries STOCK INDEX such as Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, Shanghai, Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, all is pointing upwards. Sorry lazy to post chart out, yourself go see la !

Therefore I have a quick conclusion that OUR FBMKLCI INDEX at this point is reasonable and very high chance BREAK NEW HIGH LA (although maybe many corrections come along) ! (beware if you buy a lot index put warrant.. hahahaha)

I know you will worry about so call 1MDB issues, or political issue that Mahatir asking Ahjib to quit, let me tell you, before everything happen, stock market will do fine, dont worry too much unless you are planning to do a very very long term trading, which I not advise you to do so. You have to react faster in recent stock market and I will update you all if anything really go wrong in FACEBOOK.

Talk so much but dint give tips .. for me its not logic also la !

Lets see which stock we can focus, hantam, hoot ! 

Technology Sector, Export Sector and Electronics Manufacturer is my main focus.

Technology Sector : SYSTECH, EFFICIEN, NOVAMSC, MPAY, PRIVA, GHLSYS

Export Related Sector : CAREPLS, HOVID, MIECO, FLBHD, HEVEA

Electronics Manufacturer Sector: MIKROMB, PENTA, MMSV, JCY, EG, INARI


Happy Trading in APRIL ! More to comes !


I just sharing my though ! I not professional ! If I wrong, its normal !

Saturday, August 30, 2014

About Bursa Stocks Logic Trading Analysis

What is Logic Trading Analysis?

I started this blog because I have experienced the failure of using TA (technical analysis) and FA (fundamental analysis) trading in Bursa Malaysia stocks.

Losing money is pain, but if not from all these pain, I will not learn to trade by my own "Logic Trading Analysis" to conquer the failure of TA and FA over time. Purely based on TA or FA is not good enough because the price movement of some popular stocks is getting more tricky BECAUSE the big player know your weakness and your TA or FA skills. That's why its important to use Logic Trading Analysis to avoid being kill by the big player.

So what is Logic Trading Analysis all about?

1. Logic trading analysis can be very abstract, it cant fully see by your bare eye, its required your brain to think fast, and act different, in order to win the game trading in the markets. 

2. Logic trading is to think, to trade differently not just based on technical analysis entry/exit, not just based on good fundamental. Its also think on the overall market ability, big player appetite, emotion, as well as the news, rumors that spread around the market.

3. Logic trading not mean to trade "logically" but its also can be illogical. It have to apply flexibly and changes quickly to favor the market and stocks movement.

4. Usually apply on very short term trading, it might only apply on next day, few hour, or weeks. 






 
Disclaimer: This is my personal logic trading analysis blog  that show my own personal analysis. All information provided here are for sharing purposes only. The author should not be held liable for any informational errors, incompleteness or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein.