NOTION - FAMOUS INVESTOR & GURU IS START BUYING

We get to know a some famous investor and guru start buying up NOTION ! That's why lately big move up, and we get the opportunity to studies it and found that more to go !! You should read why we said so, and why they buying ! 

NOTION (8803) catch our attention as we think recent rise is just the beginning and still many people haven't notice this stock going to be next big black horse. To cut short, we look at the chart first.

Recent stock price has been hitting the past two big trend high, and this round we expecting once break RM 1.0 then a super rally will come. Do watch very carefully coming few day movement as it will happen breakout soon.

NOTION have been strong uptrend recently, recent price have hit support and higher low have been form, we expecting a big spike up will come very soon.

We have some reason that NOTION will further up as the company has been very positive with this year earning, we can get the information from latest quarterly result.

We can see that management already targeting a sales revenue of RM 320 mil for coming year 2020. This is a big increase compare to last year, which will be a confirmation of coming February result will be improve greatly.

Even they expect growth can be go to RM 400 mil !! Why so confident? Because they have secure a new Big customer ! 

LOOK at past few year Revenue only average RM 230 mil, imagine when year 2020 Revenue hit RM 320 mil ! which is more than 5 year of new high ! Remember this and later we study how much price potential to go !

So stock price should easily go above RM 1.30 which is the high during year 2017.

News have been reporting they going to have strong growth in coming years. But how strong it could be? Let us share with you.

The key is their new business EMS !

They have compared themself with VS, SKPRES AND ATAIMS, which all riding the big bull before due to one same client = DYSON ! 

Any company manage to grab contract from DYSON have fly double up ! Because DYSON is superb !

NOTION ONLY ROUGHLY PE 8 !

If NOTION go PE 15 like other PEERS 

PRICE SHALL GO RM 1.79 ! 

Just look at overall peers PE ! Then you will notice NOTION PE is super low, super undervalues compare to peers ! How??

Since company expecting a very good result for year 2020, and even better than year 2019, we take

Since management expecting RM 320 mil revenue, which is RM 80 mil per quarter, we do not greedy, just take 10 million net profit per quarter to calculate EPS, that will give out annual net profit of 40m.

40 Million profit / NOTION 334.74m total share = RM 0.1194 EPS

Based on this forward PE calculation, last Friday closing price RM 0.955 is only about PE 8 ! (RM 0.955/ EPS RM 0.1194 = PE 7.99)

Even the boss also target their stock price to go 3x (RM 3.0+) by year 2024. It's a very bullish statement as the boss already see their new business going to boost up their earning !

Moreover, the company are highly possible to call for bonus issue next year !

Look at Share capital and retained profit, next quarter profit again then retained profit already more than share capital, this mean company can easily call for a 1 to 1 bonus issue !! That will definitely boost stock price higher, this can look at recent case like MI and UWC, both called BONUS and big fly up !

As a conclusion,

1. NOTION will start a big rally up like DUFU, PENTA, FRONTKN, and you should not miss it.
2. NOTION new business going to boost coming year earning.
3. NOTION PE still very double low compared to peers.
4. NOTION going for a strong breakout from long term downtrend line soon.
5. NOTION very soon can give bonus issue by next year and price will big up like MI, UWC.

My own personal "hope" for short term price to reach RM 1.10, mid term hope RM 1.30, long term hope RM 2.50.

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HIL Industries Bhd - Blow Up Like Malaysia Flying Cars

HIL Industries Bhd. (8443) come into our radar very closely lately, and today we going to share it to you very quick and simple way that why we should monitor closely this company.

Before we mention about earning, what the company do, please do read the chart we show you first.

Immediately we view into the company stock price chart first :

Look like Malaysia style Flying Car right ??

OK let's be serious and read below carefully :

What the chart tell us is :

1. For the past two years price has been falling from peak RM 1.0 and drop until lately lowest RM 0.465 and start rebound to RM 0.61.
2. For the past few year daily price movement has been very low volume and price movement not moving in a normal way, because of too low transaction. (some time big up, some time big down).
3. Only recently suddenly after result in February, price start have daily transaction and movement.
4. Volume start coming in.

Above is just the Part 1 why we should watch closely this stock. 
We proved to you Part 1 is valid and it's not happen once, it's already many time in this company.

In year 2005 we can see obviously no much trading movement and volume, but once go into year 2006, volume suddenly in and daily price movement become normal, then price shoot triple up from RM 0.17 to as high as RM 0.54 (year 2017). 

In year 2007 after shoot high, start no daily volume and price start have funny daily movement then when 2008 April volume suddenly in, price movement back to normal, price shoot even higher to RM 0.70 +. 

There after 2013 happen again, when price have no volume and funny daily movement, suddenly in year 2014 volume spike in and daily got trading movement. Price shoot all the way up again, and hit highest in 2017 to RM 1.0+. 

3 cases from the same company have already show that the stock price always rocket shoot up when got volume and traded normally daily. So let us look into most recent chart again :

We can obviously see daily price movement back to normal with volume. Why is this happen so often in this company? Is this the very good opportunity for us to tap in once again? 

To me the answer is very obvious already. 

Part 2 why we should watch closely this stock.

If the answer still not obvious, we shall look into recent financial result :

Revenue new high, and profit new high !

That's the reason price start recovering?

Wow got RM 0.0175 cent dividend which will be entitle ex date on end of April 2019!

Not that simple, actually more are coming !

It has RM 112.94 million cash, its equal to RM 0.338 per share, so damn cash rich ! More than half of its share price !!

And retained profits already ready to give 1:1 BONUS ISSUES !!
(maybe next quarter announce? since share floating in the market are so little !)


Part 3 why we should watch closely this stock.

Proton New X70 selling like hot cake !

But Perodua Aruz selling like hot ladys !

Perodua Aruz sales speed up like the car already can fly ! 

Why I show you car sales? Because HIL Industries Bhd are car parts supplier ! That's why every few year the price spike up when got new hot car model lah ! Now you know and it's still not too late !

Use some very simple calculation, PROTON 8500 unit + PERODUA ARUZ 14000 unit = 22500 unit.

Let say HIL can only earn each car RM 50 already confirm that HIL can make a net RM 1.125 million !

Not yet even mention other car models, and the property sales, definitely result will be continue good !

Part 4 why we should watch closely this stock.

The company boss been buying non stop lately ! The market only have very limited stock left and all the company boss combine up should have already more than 70% holding. Will they privatize it??

The Net tangible Asset worth RM 1.0, so if take privatization surely higher than current price of RM 0.60+ only.

You may again saying that this stock move up was purely due to a single quarter result improve, which not going to lasting, but we can tell you that it's not the case. 

Part 4 why we should watch closely this stock.

Its not HIL alone making move, it's whole industry that involve in car parts !! 

Lets look at MCEHLDG a company that supply car parts to local car industry. 

We can see obvious rebound in year 2019 from RM 0.45 move to RM 0.63. It's a hint that the whole industry have wake up by New Proton, New Perodua car and other New car in the market.

DRBHCOM that selling PROTON car already show some rebound up. 

MBMR that selling PERODUA car even show big rally up up !

All above already show that HIL (8443) is ready to blow up like flying cars, and we not even yet mention their property sales that start billing which will definitely post better result in May.


As a conclusion, 

1. HIL (8443) has show price action and is ready to move.
2. HIL (8443) has very good fundamental and business prospect.
3. New car model has boost HIL business.
4. The whole car industry has already moving up, it's a big trend.
5. Company director keep on buying showing potential of privatization.
6. The company is ready to give BONUS ISSUE.


My own personal "hope" for short term price to reach RM 0.90, mid term hope RM 1.10, longer term if got bonus issue RM 1.30. 

RGB - The JACKPOT MACHINE Is READY TO SPIN

Yes it's time and best time to consider RGB (0037) again ! Why ? Many obvious reason will be list down when you finish reading it.

RGB is a very unique company in Malaysia as the only Slot Machine maker and service maintenance company which already quite well known in trader eye as used to be invested by COLD Eye the famous Malaysia Investor. 

Let this article tell you how much more business potential for RGB as RGB recent great sales are coming from CAMBODIA ! (quarterly report mentioned INDOCHINA, assume to be VIETNAM, CAMBODIA, MYAMAR)



http://asianews.it/news-en/Casino-boom-in-Cambodia:-+-53-per-cent-in-2018-only-45865.html


However we usually don't explain on how the business too detail as we like to put fact on table and let them talk themself.

First for most, quarterly report : (READ BELOW closely STRONG INFO EXPOSED !)

Very obvious, we can see RGB have making very good improvement recent years, and latest quarterly result even post quarterly new high at RM 11.9 million net profit !!

This is not enough right? Why ? Because we have doubt for coming quarterly result. That's already solved because we know how to interpret information as below:

Source from this link : HERE 

The news above mentioned that highly confident that profit before tax for full year can hit RM 40 million profit before tax.

Let us just assume lah, if really RM 40 million profit before tax, then coming February quarter can post what result?

Just minus RM 40 million whole year to the announced 3 quarter which is :

RM 40 mil - RM 13.2 mil (3rd quarter) - RM 8.8 mil (2nd quarter) - RM 6.7 (3rd quarter) = RM 11.3 mil for coming quarter result.

Minus TAX should at least have RM 8-9 Million net profit which is way better than last year only 6 million ! 
50 % increase !!

Not enough?

It's nett cash company with roughly RM 0.055 cent per share !
So definitely a safe and healthy company !

SOME MORE ! 

Source : HERE 

The company servicing department already in planing to list IPO in HONG KONG ! And it will be this year ! This will confirm unlock the company value further as IPO in HONG KONG definitely get very good valuation !!

Good enough and lets look at the price chart, has it low enough? Should we chase ? 

What?? Weekly chart also show Technically it's still at bottom because of recent trade war and bad sentiment? Such good opportunity to buy at bottom, risk reward seems to be great !! Set cut if break RM 0.19 and potential upside target at least 5 time of cut loss which is RM 0.25 !! Lose 1 cent and win 5 cent ! Wow !

What about daily chart ?

Even more obvious that RM 0.205 sideways breakout with volume ! It's a good early bullish sign that still not yet up too much ! There is a gap at RM 0.25 at September 2018, could it be a big hint this bull wanna fill the gap very soon? Its definitely a yes to us !

As a conclusion :

1. RGB already posting strong solid result over years.
2. Cambodia, Vietnam CASINO all boom and increase over the year.
3. RGB income can be recurring due to servicing so no risk running out of sales.
4. RGB service department going to IPO in HK.
5. RGB price still at bottom and just almost turn up.
6. RGB is a net cash per share RM 0.055 cent company with very little debt.
7. RGB doing unique business that no much competitor in Malaysia.

My own personal "hope" for short term price to reach RM 0.25, mid term hope RM 0.30. 

ELKDESA - STEADY GROWTH THAT REMAIN SILENT

ELKDESA (5228) is a very low volume stock and not much people pay attention to it, that's why our title mentioned this company remain silent.

We have been also monitor this stock silently for years because if market don't move it, we even happy because we can slowly collect it.

However, we believe now is best time to share about this company because we believe the latest result have been telling us, it's big time for them to start a big rally ! 

What this company do? You can view their website first here:

http://www.elk-desa.com.my/

Basically their core business are hire purchase financing for used motor vehicles, and another is furniture. Hire Purchase Financing can be a very unique business and the very few that listed in BURSA. 

A little bit similar peer can be compare or related are RCECAP which also doing financial but different field.

To put this analysis simple and quick, first we show you the quarterly result ever since IPO until now.

We can see super obvious that during IPO year 2013, Revenue only RM 10 million and profit 2 million.

Until latest quarter, Revenue already growth to triple up to RM 30 million, and profit growth to 4x which is RM 8.6 million. 

It's very obvious that this company have been posting good result ever since year 2013 until 2018 and almost every quarter improve.

This have been very long time and already proved for 5 years tracking record, not much stock in BURSA can do that.

Looking at Dividend return also Superb as the company have 60% dividend policy, which with current price of RM 1.20+, dividend yield have about 5-6% which is consider quite good compare to many other stock.

Although the company have been go through a 3 time right issue, but in actual fact those right issue is give big opportunity for shareholder to buy at lower price and increase their share, which we can show you at the chart below. (Monthly chart to show price ever since IPO until now)

If we adjust the chart with right issue, we can see that all this year the price lowest only at RM 1.00.

And just last week price have making a Big Breakout !!

A breaking of RM 1.24 and close RM 1.27 seems to bring this stock to close at new high !!

We do not know whether you ever listen one quotes from BURSA, if a stock can break new high, at least another 20-30% upside will be seems because everyone is making money and the mood of buying up is high !

Another thing is that the company expecting to continue post even better result ! So what ?


As a Conclusion :

1. Revenue, Profit new historical high.
2. Revenue triple up and profit quadruple compare to the first time ipo result.
3. Almost every quarter improving revenue and profit.
4. Dividend increased, yield at about 5.6%, every year give 2 time ever since IPO 2013.
5. Dividend Policy (%) 60% of earning, that's why good dividend payout.
6. Business furniture and hire purchase loan to second hand car market and general insurance.
7. If you missed the growth of RCECAP, this one will be the next good choice.
8. Price has been sideways for 3 years ever since 2015, is time to wake up. 
9. Director been buying lately, price at RM 1.18. This level will be strong support.
10. Risk reward very good.  If count in pass few right issue, current price just break new high, which mean got 20%-30% to go higher.

My Personal target it should at least go to RM 1.40-1.60 level or even higher towards RM 2.0, once market recognize and notice it, sure will start goreng higher.

LTA - Potential Strong Rebound Stock This Week

Last week market was really exciting as Hong Kong market, USA market big free fall ! 

However every fall will surely hit the floor and bounce up.

At this juncture we don't care whether this rebound can last or sustain but we would like to share with you stock that potentially rebound up ! To catch some short term money !

GAMUDA (5398)

Why GAMUDA remain TOP pick for catch rebound? As MRT2 already put on negotiation table, new Gov are quite unlikely to terminate their project and re-tender, price has been extra cheap at the moment. The white strong candle on last Thursday has already indicating a strong positive digestion of bad news which should see it move further up.

Potential rebound target RM 2.70 - RM 3.00.

QES (0196)

QES one of the cheaper price SEMICON stock and also recent IPO . Have posted very good result and market have been very positive with future outlook and prospect. Techinically has been strong uptrend which mean recent fall actually an opportunity to set entry for further upside.

Potential rebound target RM 0.36 - RM 0.40

WEGMANS (0197)

WEGMANS is one of the recent new IPO and furniture stock that has been very bullish uptrending, recent fall that cause by sentiment has already drop way below the uptrend line, which causing many short term player panic and cut loss, however it's expecting to recover stronger if world market remain stable.

Potential rebound target RM 0.38 - RM 0.40

NOTION (0083)

NOTION is a little bit special as in the progress of a big uptrend, and now consolidating in range awaiting to make a big push up. Recent fall has been great opportunity to set in. Has been forming bottom for half year all because of the beautiful fire that burn their factory, and now manage to claim RM 150 million which is about RM 0.45 cash per share. Current price only RM 0.60+ which mean you are buying pretty cheap !

Potential rebound target RM 0.76 - RM 0.90.

DANCO (5276) 

DANCO has been posting strong result, and price have been drop way below before recent announce result price. Expecting to see further rebound up as it's supposed to be very bullish uptrend.

Potential rebound target RM 0.48 - RM 0.52

JHM (0127)

JHM has been posting record high earning, yet price has falling way too much. It's supposedly breakout and bullish uptrend, fortunately bad sentiment has give us chance to enter at lower price. This must be golden opportunity as most likely it will further rebound up and further uptrend.

Potential rebound target RM 1.30 - RM 1.40.

CHINWEL (5007)

CHINWEL has just post a very strong result, price also finally break away from more than half year downtrend. It's already indicating a very bullish movement. Recent retrace from RM 2.0 again give chance to enter lower before it move much higher up. Compare to peers TONGHER price has been up up all the way, next should be CHINWEL's turn.

Potential rebound target RM 2.0 - RM 2.30.

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NOVAMSC - PROVEN SOLUTIONS, CONTINUOUS INNOVATIONS !

NOVAMSC (0026) Shariah Compliance

However firstly we learn what NOVAMSC doing and what potential they do have !

Yes you are right, it's time LTA cover this company NOVAMSC as this company truly attract and filled lots of Big Meletup Criteria. As you know, LTA don't often publish our view on stock as often as other because we only post the best out of the best !

You can look at our past record of JFTECH, IQGROUP, N2N, FRONTKN, MLGLOBAL, many at least move more than 50% up in less than half year time.

So what is so good about NOVAMSC that finally covered by LTA research?

First of all, I want you to open their company website check every page and learn what they doing : http://www.nova-hub.com/

What I can say about this company website is very simple and humble, showing beautiful photo with what they doing, what product they offer, and the most common one director/ceo information is not show, it tell's the Boss are not the one wanna show off, they focus on their work and that's good enough for a shareholder view !!

Next very simple fundamental analysis will do :

Well latest quarter finally show great profit come in, and we quite sure coming November result can do much better, and remember this picture as I will compare it with a company that look very similar later.

And most importantly it's a NETT CASH COMPANY !

How good about this company future and prospect, you can just go check this blog :

http://bigcanon.blogspot.com/2018/09/novamsc-next-e-government-solution.html

It mention NOVAMSC potential to be MYEG 2.0 ! 
E-Government Solution Provider !!


LTA is more interested to tell you how big possible it will BIG MELETUP UP soon !


Let us show you a few case study that already happen BIG MELETUP !


Case 1

KEYASIC 

Why KEYASIC can suddenly big Meletup from RM 0.10 towards RM 0.16 then washing almost 5 month then finally super Meletup above RM 0.34 !! (on 11/10/2017)

Very simple reason as KEYASIC profit turn around and start contribute positive for few quarter.

To compare KEYASIC with NOVAMSC, we know both are doing IT stuff and it's technology stock. However KEYASIC total share issue is much higher compare to NOVAMSC, what this telling?

Go and compare NOVAMSC latest quarter earning with KEYASIC you will find that NOVAMSC earning much higher, earn EPS much higher due to lower share issued !

Very simple, NOVAMSC once post stable or even better result in November, then we expecting October this month the price will start shoot up already !

Case 2

SYSTECH (0050) 

Not convince with KEYASIC case? We show you SYSTECH about the same situation too. Firstly we show you the price movement first.

SYSTECH too has been hovering RM 0.15 - RM 0.18 just like what KEYASIC did then before result in NOVEMBER out, big Meletup up ! All the way hit RM 0.47 ! (16/11/2016)

Looking back why did SYSTECH actually up so much? After all 17/11/16 result improve compare to 18/8/2016, and just small improvement ! The key is consistent post profit and then price will go up !!

LOOK CLOSELY SYSTECH EPS !! Just 0.29 EPS for 17/7/2016 Q2 Result.

So NOVAMSC latest result already posting 0.24 EPS, its super close to SYSTECH and much better than KEYASIC, so why NOVAMSC price can't move like what have KEYASIC and SYSTECH did?

They all on on same categories as Technology IT related company, so Valuation wise should be also almost the same, since balance sheet for all this company are about the same, not much debt, got some cash and NOVAMSC have most cash compare to the rest !

KEYASIC cash = RM 1.021 mil        Cash per share / 930.57m = RM 0.001 per share
SYSTECH cash = RM 5.874 mil        Cash per share / 347.71m = RM 0.016 per share
NOVAMSC cash = RM 18.646 mil     Cash per share / 751.56m = RM 0.024 per share

See by just looking at latest result already show NOVAMSC richest yet price still lagging, it's highly ready and potentially for a big Meletup up already !!

Actually many other not profiting company also manage to big goreng up, NOVAMSC consider as very low risk so it's surely a good investment so far !


As a conclusion:

1. NOVAMSC is an IT technologies company that have full potential of big Meletup up !
2. NOVAMSC is an International company have business in many countries !
3. NOVAMSC has new product and already start securing business from CHINA, SINGAPORE and more coming soon.
4. NOVAMSC order book has achieve new high !
5. NOVAMSC price remain very low compared to other peers !
6. NOVAMSC high potential to post better result !
7. NOVAMSC this type of stock are the favorite choice of MYEG Boss WONG TS, CREADOR fund by BRAHMAL VASUDEVAN, once they join party, price surely big meletup !

Better be earlier than late yo !

My own personal "hope" for short term price to reach RM 0.25, mid term hope RM 0.40, long term hope RM 0.60.