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Sunday, April 3, 2016

LTA - Watchlist for APRIL 2016

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This month we will remain notice some construction stock moving, but since last month already did well, I am not covered stock with construction theme.

I will special high light some special theme that related to call warrant, and warrants, and remember watchlist below may not suitable to hold until end of APRIL. Hit and run apply. 

After POS, DRBHICOM, MALAKOF, MMCCORP, PARKSON, AEON big Meletup last month, I believe the same theme may roll over which is Goreng the mother share and make huge profit from call warrant / warrant issues under the mother share. You can check back your own how many fold the call warrant have up, stock I mentioned above.

Remember it's higher risk to play such stock because it might not fundamentally sound super great but it's possibly the game at this few weeks, also possible to fail, please do not trade if you not understand.

Stock I spotted that may have similar trend that goreng mom up to earn Mom and warrant are like:


1. MINETEC & MINETEC-WA - Construction theme and used to received awards from GAMUDA few years back. Already mentioned in some here:

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/logictradinganalysiss/93696.jsp

MINETEC closing on 01/04/2016 RM 0.095 
MINETEC-WA closing                 RM 0.03 (exercise RM 0.15, expired Nov 2019)

As long as goreng MINETEC to break RM 0.12 to RM 0.15, MINETEC-WA chances of double are extremely high, which mean MINETEC-WA shall move to RM 0.05-0.07. 



2. TA & TA-CF - Technically bottoming up and RM strengthen benefit to the company, and this company still quite undervalue.

TA closing RM 0.575

TA-CF closing RM 0.025 (exercise RM 0.70, ratio 0.75, expired 08/06/2016)

If TA mother go to RM 0.75,

TA-CF = RM 0.75 - RM 0.70 (exercise) / 0.75 (ratio) = RM 0.0666 (triple from current price)

if TA mother go to RM 0.80

TA-CF = RM 0.80 - RM 0.70 (exercise) / 0.75 (ratio)) = RM 0.1333 (5.3x from current price)

Due to panic buy and still have 2 month expiry date, trader usually trade exceed its value and overshoot a lot, we can see it from past experience on POS and others. 



3. SEACERA, SEACERA-WA, SEACERA-WB - Construction theme and technically look low risk. Cut if break RM 0.94. 

SEACERA closing RM 0.96

SEACERA-WA RM 0.29 (exercise RM 1.0, expired 16/05/2017)

SEACERA-WB RM 0.37 (exercise RM 1.0, expired 29/05/2019)

Due to long expiry date, once mother cross above RM 1.0, definitely will trigger trader to goreng the warrant up. 



4. VIVOCOM, VIVOCOM-WB, VIVOCOM-WC, VIVOCOM-WD - Construction Theme

VIVOCOM closing RM 0.28

VIVOCOM-WB RM 0.115 (exercise RM 0.24, expired 07/09/2018)

VIVOCOM-WC RM 0.185 (exercise RM 0.10, expired 22/01/2020) (lower premium compare to WB)

VIVOCOM-WD RM 0.185 (exercise RM 0.10, expired 08/07/2020) (lower premium compare to WB)


As long as VIVOCOM above RM 0.30, we can see all WB, WC, WD at least up RM 0.02 or more.



5. KEYASIC - Purely personal interest and think this company maybe will goreng up again. Without any warrant. 



Falling with volume decreasing, high chance to test again at around RM 0.235, if able to break shall move higher target. Company latest development with their new technology claims to be world fastest WIFI SD Card, WIFI USB Drive, which attract my attention, I put some bet on this company and hope their product and futures will do well. (already make losses for few quarters)



Disclaimer: Above sharing are purely personal watchlist without intend to influence or any intention. Trader please consult your dealer/remisier, and trade at your own risk. I do not take any responsibility on this post. If you lose, do not blame the author, because it's your own skill problem !



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