Disclaimer: This is my personal logic trading analysis blog that show my own personal analysis. All information provided here are for sharing purposes only. The author should not be held liable for any informational errors, incompleteness or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. Buy at your own risk.

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Wednesday, November 26, 2014

HOVID - The Medicine to Cure


HOVID (7213) is a very special company in BURSA MALAYSIA and its worth to look at now and invest for many logic trading analysis as below: 

When talk about HOVID history, its come from a long long way, its best you watch the video to know how far have HOVID come through and its the legend of Chinese Medical product able to make a new legend in BURSA MALAYSIA? Judge yourself ! 


HOVID is a brand that most of the people know and proud because its a International product that come from Malaysia, I do not want to talk too detail about how is their company, but if you think to invest in long term with this company, yes you should read and study about it, because I find this company worth looking for a long term investment !! 

First most importantly is how is the company business? Making money? Yes ! Hovid have come from a long way, the fall before because of CAROTECH investment, even its have delisted already, its hard to explain but this company make them lose money and after few years of struggle and last few day quarter result have show HOVID is seriously improving and very potential to break new high for the stock price.  


Hovid have success maintain their profit and seems to be improving. You might not know that they going to have new production line by next year, not only that, they also will have a new distribution centre which helps for import business and local. You can refer here : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mZY-qYE0m4c

You may also find that pattern cliff, its a good chance for HOVID to get more opportunity. You may read whats pattern cliff here : http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/rhb/55900.jsp 

Tocotrienol is also once of their product that might change everything ! Refer here

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/bfm_podcast/59636.jsp

Lets back to more detail stuff of HOVID future:


AND SOME BIG SECRET !! 

US DOLLAR IF KEEP MOVING UP is actually benefit to HOVID, as you know Dollar is increasing. HOVID business actually 60% is import to oversea and only 40% local. You may listen what the boss say here:

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/bfm_podcast/59636.jsp

Another one, look at share capital and retained earnings... :D


Did you notice one of their important products is made from palm seed ? Palm oil price is dropping which might lower the cost as well !!

Lets view their chart a while:


Its seems HOVID testing previous new high already when RHB give a TP of 0.46, which later dropping back to current level. 0.385. Even during market big drop time, its fall to 0.34 and quickly rebound. Its high chance to test new high ! And with such good result, its not much possible to fall lower again.

HOVID is a very smart company as well, recently they launch a new product for good sleeping, and not to forget that they have online store as well. They know market is in such a bad situation, everybody involve in stock market might not be able to sleep well, so this HO YAN HOR NIGHT TEA might suitable for you to drink and sleep well.



HOVID is definitely a good investment and safe to buy counter at this kind of bad market.

My conclusion for logic trading analysis on HOVID :

1. Hovid got a very good boss, he know from bottom to top. He experience all and have the expertise.
2. Hovid manage to climb back after a really bad investment of CAROTECH.
3. Pattern Cliff
4. Tocotrienol
5. They going to have distribution centre to speed up everything.
6. Fundamental improving and potential of bonus issue in futures.
7. More new products
8. A strong local brand
9. USD VS RM
10. Nothing to lose, price is at cheap level.
11. Sickness is increasing, medical is new trend of futures big boom market after technology.

My First TP 0.46, Second 0.6, Third 1.0 (long term)


Tuesday, November 25, 2014

FRONTKN - Rising Asian Demand


FRONTKN (0128)  is a very unique company where not much other company doing the same thing they do. Its hard to explain what they do, best you move to their website and have a look. Today I share with you all why FRONTKN is covered by me and how potential this stock can rise !


Why this stock must put serious attention into it? This must look at the latest quarter result to confirm, yes, this stock is time to fly high. Its more than 3 years all time high for quarterly revenue and net profit !


If we look at what contribute the such a good quarter result, surprise its from TAIWAN ! Would it because of  Taiwan gas pipe bomb ? Anyway they also put CHINA, INDONESIA at their list, which this two country are going to be the most strong growth in coming years.


My logic tells they going to secures more project from different countries and will improve their business. Which its show the management truly have desire to put their company into good score, remember last two years they are selling their inactive companies, have German directors buying shares and others, its a improving and recovering company !!


By looking at chart, its a very bullish signal and its very high chance to break previous high of 0.20 and move towards many years back high which is 0.50+.

I do not want to elaborate too detail about this company because I am confident this stock will rise ! You may do your studies !

My logic analysis tells FRONTKN is a very good counter to invest,

1. Result show very good, price still very low, very high potential to fried.
2. Company business is unique, which less competitor and high business growth potential.
3. Warrant will expired soon, high chance director will take opportunity to fried mother share up to let go warrant.
4. Oil and GAS counter all rebound strongly, which will benefit FRONTKN as well.

My first TP 0.22, Second 0.30, Third 0.50 (long term)



Thursday, November 20, 2014

CENSOF - Safe Heaven To All IN Trip 2

Refer back my first Safe Heaven To ALL in for Censof here

http://bursalogicanalysis.blogspot.com/2014/08/censof-safe-heaven-to-all-in.html

Why Am I writting second post ? Because its best moment to share to you all my logic trading analysis on why CENSOF is confirm to be Safe Heaven to All in Trip No 2.

First trip, I believe everybody makes good money after getting free warrant from Censof, Censof-wb.

I will explain in detail how and why CENSOF will definately safe heaven to All in:


1. We refer to some others GST counter, the most popular IFCAMSC (0023) , YGL (0086)


IFCAMSC post very good profit, and during their CEO briefing after result, they HINT GST income will only fully shown in coming quarter result (February)


YGL, even though previous many quarter YGL is making losses, but stock price also manage to pump up triple. And some one call WONG AH YONG (470722-10-5135) 67 years retire age man are still buying YGL. Logic tells this man are not nut, and he confirm this counter will show good result for sure within this few day. 

Lets looks back to CENSOF (5195)

If we calculate the free warrant b today price 0.365 (0.365/4 = 0.091) 

Mother price of today 0.54+0.091= 0.631. <--- This number is important !

Even you plus up the free warrant, up to date CENSOF only 0.631 from rally 0.48 which is only about 30% of increase. Other stock already double and triple from the rally point. 


So, what make my LOGIC trading analysis say about CENSOF ? WHY I am so confirm?

First, show above, CENSOF not yet fully fried by big players as there is others counter to fried. Its almost time for them to come back. BIG player have plenty of FREE warrant B to let go, which if they FRIED CENSOF, their FREE WARRANT B also UP ! WIN WIN Situation ! For sure they will take the opportunity to fried it once good result is out !

Second, do not forget I mention before that CENSOF own DNEX ! Look at DNEX ! Did you notice super BIG WHITE CANDLE ? Yes, they announce they have project with MAYBANK which expecting can earn many from the collaboration. Please check yourself HERE : <---- Click


And from some one very reliable saying that one of the local funds is buying DNEX ! You think that big white candle can be done by retailer? Nope. Its local funds. 

Dnex also post their result this month and its positive and expecting to be better in coming quarter because import and export will be more important in next year, plus their project with Maybank will definitely boost DNEX profit.

Conclusion,
My Logic Trading Analysis says,

1. CENSOF still have plenty of room to up. 
2. CENSOF this and next quarter result will confirm good. 
3. CENSOF up = free warrant b up, mean big player will collect more CENSOF and push up to enjoy 2 ride. CENSOF up = Free warrant b up. 1 bird 2 stone. 
4. DNEX bright futures, good result already shown. 

5. Now CENSOF is at cheap price due to poor market sentiment, nearly oversold, which expecting a new rally will form very soon, or right after result is out !

My first tp 0.60, second tp 0.70, last tp 1.0.